World Cup 2014 Group A Betting

Brazil will win tonight...won't they? No matter how much they're favourites and in front of their own fans, etc etc I find it very hard to back them at 3/10, so I've had a minimum stakes double chance on Croatia at Bet365's 11/4.

And a punt on Oribe Peralta to be Mexico's top scorer at Sky's 11/4. I confess I've not heard of him, but looking at his record he seems to be more prolific for his country than Man Utd's Hernandez, so the odds have tempted me.

Taken Brazil in play when they equalised at 4/9 for a very small profit.

I'm on the draw in Mexico-Cameroon. That's because with Brazil 'certain' to take a qualifying place, the side losing tonight will almost certainly go home so I think we could see both sides playing not to lose rather than to win.

Sorry, Punter, I can't wish you luck with your Mexico bet!

Nice call on Mexico, Punter. I wasn't expecting there to be so much between the sides. And I'm happy with Piralta's goal , although dos Santos of course should have had two by then.

I've taken dos Santos to be Mexico's top scorer at 8/1, a hedge against Peralta who I took early on. Dos Santos looked the most likely of the two in the first game, where of course he had two good goals disallowed.

Good luck Punter. I've just had a few bob on over 2.5 (4/6) so I hope it's a high scorer too Both sides look good going forward, while Brazil can be shaky at the back. Mexico's defence wasn't seriously tested last time against a modest Cameroon attack so is an unknown as far as I'm concerned.

Two games and no goals conceded by Mexico. Mmm Dark horses to progress past the first round of the group stage? They could well top the group and meet Chile in the next round and who would rule it out?

Croatia looked good in their opening game, despite losing to Brazil. Cameroon didn't look good in losing to Mexico. Cameroon are without Eto'o; Croatia welcome Mandzukic back. I've gone for Croatia at Paddy's 7/10.

I'm not betting on the Brazil game - they're rightly overwhelming favourites by ridiculously short.

I'm on over 2.5 in the Croatia/Mexico game at the general 11/10. Neither side has looked particularly 'overish' to me, especially Mexico, but with only one likely to qualify I can see this becoming very open late on.