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Maybe worth a punt

Discussion in 'Horse Racing & Greyhound Tips' started by Sean, Apr 19, 2024.

  1. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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    Gonna post up horses i think could run well , could be for whatever reason , distance travelled , the jockey onboard , course form .. etc ..
    slick likes this.
  2. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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    Saturday 20th April

    9.44 Keeneland - Bold Act EV - Silver Knott 6/1
    Couple catch my eye in the Grade 2 Elkhorn Stakes at Keeneland , Charlie Appleby has two representing him in the race , and hes been in good form of late with a 29% strike rate .. first one and current favourite is Bold Act who has the help of Frankie Dettori from the saddle for the first time , won last time out after a break , beating Warren Point by 2 lengths in a group 2 at Meydan. Should give his running once again and be on the presmises. The other one is Silver Knott , who hasnt been seen since December , when third in the Grade 1 Hollywood Derby at Del Mar. Flavien Prat in the plate and i can see him getting involved if on point.
    Kegman and slick like this.
  3. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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    Saturday 20th April

    When looking through the Keeneland card i noticed that Adam Beschizza is down to ride a couple of mounts , and after a bit of digging i saw that hes doing well when riding at Keeneland with 7 wins from 37 rides resulting in a healthy profit of +£19.24 .. he has a couple of mounts this evening ..
    7.36 Tivali 33/1
    8.40 Vernet 16/1
    Last edited: Apr 20, 2024
  4. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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  5. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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    2,156
    Sunday 21st April

    2.30 Cologne - Queues Likely 5/1
    Caught my eye that JS Moore and Billy Loughnane go to Germany for just this one in a Group 3 Fillies race. Dont often see either going abroad to my knowledge so must fancy her chances i'd say.
  6. Kegman

    Kegman Moderator

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    Lovely
    Sean likes this.
  7. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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    Bold Act 3rd 2/5
    Silver Knott :thumb 1st 7/1
  8. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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    2,156
    Sunday 21st April

    Paul Townend goes to Tramore today for three rides where he has a 53.6% strike rate over the last five years alongside a profit of +£21.53 , only one of those is for Willie Mullins , who has a 45.6% strike rate at the course over the same time period .. and when teaming up over the last three weeks they come away with a 35% strike rate. Although Henn See is the one i spotted it may be worth having a go on the other two of Townends rides considering how well he does here

    Paul Townend
    3.50 Pat Coyne 7/2
    4.20 Brucejack 7/2

    Paul Townend / Willie Mullins
    5.20 Henn See 7/4
  9. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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    Sunday 21st April

    5.15 Musselburgh - Destinado EW 12/1
    Trainer James Owen is in fine form at the moment with an 18.6% strike rate in the past month and it caught my eye that he sends just Destinado on the long trip up to Musselburgh from his Newmarket base. Horse himself is temptingly at the bottom of the weights and is in decent form -1,4,2,1,3,4 and i can see no reason why he shouldnt give his running once again. Aiden Keeley in the saddle and he too is in decent form with a 23% strike rate over the last three weeks and when he and the trainer have combined talents they have a 30% strike rate in the same period. Has ridden the horse before resulting in four wins and a place from nine rides. Should be there or thereabouts at a nice price.
  10. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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    :thumb 1st 9/2
    Last edited: Apr 21, 2024
  11. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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    2,156
    Last edited: Apr 21, 2024
  12. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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    2,156
    :thumb 1st 14/1
  13. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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    2,156
    Selections To Date

    Bold Act EV Lost (3rd)
    Silver Knott 6/1 :thumb 1st 7/1
    Tivali 33/1 Non Runner
    Velnet 16/1 Non Runner
    Queues Likely 5/1 :thumb 1st (9/2)

    Pat Coyne 7/2 Lost
    Brucejack 7/2 Lost
    Henn See 7/4 Lost
    Destinado EW 12/1 :thumb 1st (14/1)

    Running Total (to Posted Prices) +22.00 Points
    Last edited: Apr 21, 2024
  14. rcgills

    rcgills Moderator

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    Going well, Sean :clap
    Sean likes this.
  15. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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    Cheers RC :thumb
  16. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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    Tuesday 23rd April

    James Owen has been doing well lately , with a 21% strike rate over the past fortnight and he sends two out to Wolverhampton tonight , where he enjoys a 50% strike rate overall. The inform Aiden Keeley aboard both runners , 30% strike rate in the last couple of weeks and a healthy 29.4% strike rate at the course this season. And when the pair have teamed up in the last three weeks they come away with a not too shabby 36% .

    7.00 Wolverhampton - Tenyatta 9/4
    Won over CD last time out on her first start for James Owen after leaving Jamie Osbournes yard , 3lb rise in the weights not too bad for that 1 length win and worth a poke to see if she can follow up

    7.30 Wolverhampton - Star Legend (EW) 9/1
    9th of 10 lto but only beaten 3 1/2 lengths so a fair effort and i think the increase in trip from pervious two runs (1m6f) will help his chances and worth an each way to nothing
  17. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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    Tuesday 23rd April

    KR Burke sent out four yesterday with three of them winning so to my untrained eye it looks as though his stable are in decent nick , 18.6% strike rate over the last month , so seems to have his horses in good order and he sends two out today .. Clifford Lee had two rides for the trainer yesterday and won on both of them and hes got two rides for the trainer today (19% strike rate over the last two weeks) . The pair have a 26% strike rate over the last three weeks when teaming up.

    2.10 Epsom - Looking For Lynda 5/1
    Was in good form end of last season and his last time out run at Pontefract should have blown away the cobwebs and i think a better running could be on the cards here today.

    2.45 Epsom - Arabic Legend 5/1
    Up against an odds on Aiden Obrien horse in Chief Little Rock and that one beat him last time when second to Ancient Wisdom (selection sixth) but i think the ground could of been against him on that occasion and he could surprise the favourite here if putting his best foot forward , hes also left Andrew Baldings yard and joined K Burkes and this will be his first run for his new yard.
  18. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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    Tuesday 23rd April

    3.55 Epsom - Saratoga Gold (EW) 14/1
    Hasnt been seen for 208 days but has gone well fresh in the past , won and placed , and is making debut for new stable today , so hopefully can get off to a winning start. The fact that hes two from two over this afternoons CD makes me think that could help his cause and at the price i think hes worth a punt.

    4.40 Southwell - Clear The Runway (EW) 13/2
    Trainer LJ Morgan has been amongst the winners lately with a 25% strike rate and the fact that hes secured Harry Cobden (to ride in a race thats named 'Read Harry Cobdens Blog At Planet Sport Bet Handicap Hurdle) to ride the horse for the first time didnt go un noticed. Three out of three here at Southwell , and has won at todays distance so hopeful of a decent run
    SAMOAN likes this.
  19. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    Managed to get some of the 14's and now a top price 11's.
    Sean likes this.
  20. Sean

    Sean Well-Known Member

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    Fingers crossed for a good run now then :thumb

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