Discussion in 'Horse Racing & Greyhound Tips' started by ONEDUNME, Apr 25, 2016.
Waady wins. Auspicion wins
86.25 pts profit on the day.
305 Listowel Zawraq 15pt win 3/1
915 Kempton Just in Time 20pt win 13/8
420 Doncaster Six Strings 5pt ew 9/1
405 Listowel 3pt ew Bay of Freedom 14/1 (or 12/1 5 places) and Slow Motoion 3pt win 6/1
Zawraq 2nd, Just in time won returning a profit of 17.5 pts
Bay of Freedom placed - 5.5 pts
Profit on day of 12pts
150 Doncaster Tomyris 10pt ew 9/1
310 Salisbury The Grape Escape 5pt ew 9/1
325 Chester Native Prospect 10pt win 7/2
345 Sandown 5pt ew Mulhimatty 7/1
605 Salisbury Validator 12pts 5/2
635 Salisbury On to victory 12pt win 6/4
430 Chester Gakku 10pt win 5/2
225 I have both the first and second fav in my tracker at prohibitive prices -no bet
The Grape Escape and On to Victory won. Validator and Native Prospect 2nd (the latter beaten by a head to deny a decent return. Tomyris 3rd.
Profit of 44.75 points on the day.
Forgot to post yesterday so obviously missed some winners (including Spring Loaded at 12/1 but that's life.
One for today 415 Bath Big Time Maybe 10pts 11/4
455 carlisle for the roses 20 pt win 11/8
505 worcester prendergast hill 5pt ew 12/1
340 Sandown 20pt win Dynamic 7/4
555 Yarmouth Stanhope 5pt ew 5/1
610 Fairyhouse Magen's Moon 2pt ew 10/1
310 Ayr Valentino Boy 5pt ew 7/1
430 Pontefract 5pt ew 8/1
515 Yarmouth 20 pt Hugin 7/4
545 Chelmsford 10pt win 6/1
715 Chemlsford 5pt ew 10/1
340 Uttoxeter It's a Gimmie 5pt ew 12/1 12/1 1/5 four places Skybet
505 kempton family fortunes 5pt ew 15/2
250 rosscommon solo saxophone 15pts 2/1
Family Fortunes placed at 14/1.
840 chelmsford absolutely awsome 10pt win 4/1 and 5pt win Noah Amor 9/3
610 franks legacy 5pt ew 9/2
bev 350 edward lewis 12 pts 15/8
500 tip longing 10 pt 4/5
Easing off the gas as always this time of the year but two for tomorrow
300 Newmarket Dubyah 5ew 6/1
150 Newmarket To Wafic 5 ew 8/1
..and 410 Newmarket Crowned Eagle 10/1 but I'll take the 8/1 with 5 places for 2pts ew
Will soon be time to take this thread off the shelf and blow the dust off. First day on the turf is 24th March but I'll be looking at some of the young ones on the all weather leading up to that.
No bet for me today but I'll be watching the 145 at Lingfield with great interest. No More Thrills would have been my pick of the race based on its last run where it battled on well on its third start to land the spoils. However, there's an expensive unraced horse called Intense Pleasure in the race and the money is down for it which, in itself would tend me towards caution but in addition to that, James Tate who (as this thread will testify to) I am a great fan of as a trainer, has a horse called Wide Acclaim in the race. It had a decent enough debut finishing 3rd but didn't stand out as one that would be underrated in the betting and looks a pretty straightforward horse to me. I'll be looking at signs in this race that it's going to be an improver.
Intense Pleasure is likely to be the fav at around 2/1 but anything can happen in a first run and I'd prefer to take No More Thrills' relative experience over that at 5/2. However, if I can get 4/5 on Betfair on Wide Acclaim to finish in the top three, that will be where my money goes but it will be one to watch with an eye on upcoming races.
No more thrills goes straight into the tracker. Couldn't have been more wrong about the experience as it had the worst break of the seven and wasted energy trying to catch up. Ran on well to come from 6th to second in the home straight. One to be on the right side of as they say.
I've decided I'm going to start this thread early this year with a few all weather horses. It may fall flat on its face but I'll be backing these things so I may as well get them down and keep track.
Mighty Mac 250 Lingfield. 3 year old with only two races under its belt. Not an impressive debut at Sandown last September but has been gelded since and showed plenty of promise on its all weather debut when not given a hard ride by the excellent Oisin Murphy who also rides him tomorrow. 10pt win at 11/4 and it's staying in the tracker regardless of what happens tomorrow as I'm looking forward to it getting back on turf.
Not for the tracker but others I'm also backing tomorrow are:
Danzey 815 Wolves 10/1 (ew). Dropped 3lbs after a disappointing handicap debut a couple of weeks ago and, coming last of three in the previous race gives little to recommend it on the fact of it but second on its first two races (one of which was at Wolves, where he's at tomorrow). Is either going to be one of those types that always manages to get itself beat or the penny is going to drop. Tomorrow will tell a lot about which way it's going to go.
Liquid 645 Wolves 5/1. Again, a serial loser (one win in 11 at 4/7) but places as often as not so with a hope that Wolves is the place that makes the difference, an each way bet at 5/1 looks worth a shot.
The other one I'm backing for old time's sake is Squire which first went into my tracker in 2015 and who, in its last four runs has finished twice in it's two runs at Kempton but 2nd and 3rd in its runs at Lingfield and Chelmsford, so here's hoping that he's generally in good form but just hates Kempton and worth a speculative each way bet at 8/1.
Good luck mate. I'll be looking in and following a few, especially if they're posted up early.
I’ll usually be getting them up the evening before mate, although i’m away this weekend so i may not be able to do any kind of write up
Not a bad undercard either