ThunderCelt's Conference National Anteposts

So, Aldershot have been accepted into the Conference National at today's AGM, albeit with a 10 point penalty . Last year I made a few bob antepost on L2; now we're confirmed as Conference members I'll see if I can do the same here. 3,000 very small units bank as I don't know the league so this is largely for interest.

Two opening bets, both with BetVic:

Aldershot Bottom 4 finish, 50 units, 6/1
Aldershot Bottom half finish, 70 units, 4/5

Edit to report I got in just in time - both prices now slashed.

Thanks Punter. Yes, I'll happily lose, but odds are shortening so I'm expecting to be able to hedge.

No idea on potential winners - Luton I suppose are a big club, and haven't Forest Green got a rich backer? Kiddy did well last year. Hereford ? What d'you reckon, with your season's experience?

Thanks Punter . Seeing as we're unlikely to trouble the top places I can wish Hereford luck

50 units on Luton to win, 5/1, Bet365
50 units Forest Green to win, 5/1, Bwin

100 units Macclesfield to be bottom 4, 9/4, Sky.

Not exactly Conference, but as it involves Conference clubs I'll include it here - Aldershot to win the FA Trophy at BetVic's 66/1, 10 units. We're mid-table at best, but the thinking on our message board is that by the time the competition gets going we'll be safe, so with nothing else to play for we might give this a go while some of the better sides might rest players.

Aldershot top half finish, 7/4, BetVic, 46 units. I got them bottom half as well, so this ensures a profit. At the moment if we didn't have the points deduction and the season finished now we'd be fourth (although with an extra game) so at the very minimum I think we'll be okay.

100 Units, Cambridge to finish top, Paddy, 16/5.

Bloddy Hell,when I saw this bet,Thundercelt,I thought PP had been late changing their odds* or whatever-ie I thought it was a mistake but Ive just checked......and now they are 10-3!!!

Of course they have a very tricky game on Tuesday but a home win would surely cement their credentials.

(Cement their credentials? I dont know if thats a cliche or gobbledygook.Congrats on your new book.Im gonna (speed)read it,TC, sometime this season)


*Funnily enough,Ive noticed this happen twice already this season-a bookie not changing the price following a game.

Bet 365 left Everton at 2s after the Chelsea win for 24 hours for example

Grimsby to be promoted, 7/2, Bet365, 100 units. Sitting in the third play-off spot with one or two games in hand of the pack.

32 units on Luton to be champions, 11/4, BetVic

100 Units Andre Grey to goalscorer, 4/1, BetVic

Gray currently joint top with 12 (discounting the Macclesfield lad with 14 who's gone back to his parent club) and with Luton finding form I'd expect him to continue scoring. With Luton being one of the bigger clubs, and with a good chance of promotion, I also assume of the front runners he'd be one of the least likely to move on during the window.

Hedging my Aldershot to win the Trophy bet - 20 units at 33/1 on Guiseley with BetVic. Guiseley are putting a bit of form together in Conference North - unbeaten in eight - and the draw is too much of a banana skin for me to ignore.

150 units on Tamworth Bottom Four, BetVic, Evens
50 units on Grimsby to win, 8/1, BetFred

Lincoln to be bottom 4, 50 units, 5/1, BetVic. Slightly speculative, but the team is in a spiral at the moment. A losable game today at Grimsby, and with the two sides below them* playing tomorrow, they could be nearer the drop in a couple of days.

*Not including Aldershot, who are only in the mix due to their -10 and will be okay.

Havant and Waterlooville to win the Trophy, 32 units, 20/1 Bet365

Lee Gregory's midweek hat trick has dented my Andre Gray top goal scorer bet, so 228 units on Lee Gregory to goalscorer, 6/5, Bet365.