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Trying Something Out ..

Discussion in 'Horse Racing & Greyhound Tips' started by Sean, Aug 22, 2022.

  1. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

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    Ker ching :thumb
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  2. Sean

    Sean Active Member

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    The Fancies Recap / October

    3/10 .. Birkenhead 12/1 Lost
    3/10 .. Vape 14/1 :thumb 1st 7/2
    3/10 .. Rock Melody 11/1 Lost

    Bets 3
    Won 1
    EP +12.00 / SP +1.50
  3. Sean

    Sean Active Member

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    Nothing for either the **Bets or the fancies for Tuesday 4th October
  4. Sean

    Sean Active Member

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    369
    Wednesday 5th October

    **Bets
    1.30 Nottingham - Cuban Sun 50/1
    4.30 Sedgefield - Lady Babs 8/1
    8.30 Kempton - Magicinthemaking 12/1

    Bets 4 .. Won 0 .. EP -4.00 / SP -4.00

    Fancies
    8.30 Kempton - Magicinthemaking 12/1 (365)

    A few of these look to hold chances in this 6f handicap but i'm gonna go with John Longs MAGICINTHEMAKING who ran a solid race in defeat in third last time out over CD on his return from a 139 day break. That run will have hopefully of blown the cobwebs away and have him spot on for this evening. Horse always seems to run well here without winning , over CD he's had 10 runs only winning once but placing six times , whilst at the course overall he has 3 wins and 8 places from 19 outings , so definatley has a liking for it here at Kempton , and has a decent looking draw i think , i'm just hoping that this evening is one of those nights where he can get his head in front. Sam Hitchcott gets the ride , and he has two places from his three rides to date on the horse , comes here for just this one ride and has a 16.7% strike rate at the course this season. Trainer also sends just this one out today and given the horses course form i thought it was worth noting. I think the selection can go close at a decent price.

    Last edited: Oct 4, 2022
    slick likes this.
  5. Sean

    Sean Active Member

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  6. Sean

    Sean Active Member

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    369
    The Fancies Recap / October

    3/10 .. Birkenhead 12/1 Lost
    3/10 .. Vape 14/1 :thumb 1st 7/2
    3/10 .. Rock Melody 11/1 Lost
    5/10 .. Magicinthemaking 12/1 Lost (2nd)

    Bets 4
    Won 1
    EP +11.00 / SP +0.50
    slick likes this.
  7. Sean

    Sean Active Member

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    369
    Nowt for Thursday 6th October
  8. Sean

    Sean Active Member

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    369
    Nothing for either on Friday 7th October
  9. Sean

    Sean Active Member

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    Saturday 8th October

    **Bets
    None

    Bets 7 ... Won 0 ... EP -7.00 / SP -7.00

    3.40 Newmarket - Prince Imperial 25/1 (Lads,Coral) - Call My Bluff 20/1 (365,Lads,Coral)
    Probably not the easiest race to find the winner of in all honesty , gawd knows what i was thinking lol probably you've gotta be in it to win it ! .. But i really do like the chances of two in the Cesarewitch , first one is Richard Hughes' PRINCE IMPERIAL who comes into this on the back of a solid effort last time out over todays CD when beaten by Rajinsky by a length and a quarter. He can usually be relied upon to run his race and i think lto was a decent prep run and should hopefully have him spot on for this. Jim Crowley is in the hot seat and he's one from one on the horse , and over the past month he has a more than respectable 23.3% strike rate along with a small profit of +£5.21 and it boosts my confidence to see that he's done well at Newmarket this season with a 25% strike rate and a profit to a £ stake of +£4.83. Trainer has been in decent enough form with a 14% strike rate over the past 3 weeks and i think its interesting that he saddles two in this , only runners at the meeting (other one is Bascule) but looking at the overall form and jockey bookings i would say that Prince Imperial is the one to be on out of the two. If running his race i dont think he'll be far away and can give us a good run for our money at a decent price. The other one i like , also at a decent price , is CALL MY BLUFF , has been eased 1lb after a decent second when last seen at Chester a couple of weeks ago , going down by a head to Emiyn. Before that he was third to Rajinsky in the same Cesarewitch trial that my other selection was second in , Call My Bluff only lost out for second by a neck. So definatley been in solid form of late and if on song should be in the mix come the finishing line. Trainer sends just this one to the meeting and has a 20% strike rate over the past fortnight. Luke Morris gets the ride for the first time and he has a 10% strike rate over the past three weeks , and he's a jockey i'm happy enough to have onside. Obviously a big race and a bit of luck is needed but i think given their overall profiles the selections can do themselves justice.

    Last edited: Oct 7, 2022
  10. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

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    340 Newmarket
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  11. Sean

    Sean Active Member

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    Cheers , corrected ONEDUNME :thumb

    Mind you if my two started at 3.15 think they'd be a shoe in to win :)
    Last edited: Oct 7, 2022
    ONEDUNME likes this.
  12. Sean

    Sean Active Member

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    369
  13. Sean

    Sean Active Member

    Messages:
    369
    The Fancies Recap / October

    3/10 .. Birkenhead 12/1 Lost
    3/10 .. Vape 14/1 :thumb 1st 7/2
    3/10 .. Rock Melody 11/1 Lost
    5/10 .. Magicinthemaking 12/1 Lost (2nd)
    8/10 .. Prince Imperial 25/1 Lost
    8/10 .. Call My Bluff 20/1 Lost

    Bets 6
    Won 1
    EP +9.00 / SP -1.50
  14. Sean

    Sean Active Member

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    369
    Sunday 9th October

    **Bets
    1.50 Goodwood - Orin Swift 33/1
    4.20 Ffos Las - Sir Egbert 11/1

    Bets 7 .. Won 0 ... EP -7.00 / SP -7.00

    No fancies today
  15. Sean

    Sean Active Member

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  16. Sean

    Sean Active Member

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    Monday 10th October

    **Bets
    1.35 Musselburgh - Luna Magic 13/2
    4.00 Yarmouth - Single 40/1

    Bets 9 .. Won 0 .. EP -9.00 / SP -9.00

    Fancies
    1.35 Musselburgh - Luna Magic 13/2 (365)

    Another one i probably shouldnt be getting involved with , being that its an Amateur Jockeys race , but i really do like the chances of LUNA MAGIC in this , she's one from one over todays CD and the fact that she gets in here off 65 having won off as high as 78 before immediatley caught my eye. She ran well enough last time out when 8th of 20 at Newmarket , and now dropped slightly in class i'm hoping that a better run is on the cards. The fact that trainer Archie Watson sends just this one on the long hike to Musselburgh from Berkshire also caught my attention , and i just think its a helluva long way to send just one horse for a day out at the races so i'm assuming that he must fancy the horses chances here today. I think its also worth noting that when he sends them up to Musselburgh his runners seem to do well , in the last 5 years he's got a 38.1% strike rate at the course along with a healthy profit of +£16.19 to boot. He's been amongst the winners lately and over the past fortnight is showing a 14% strike rate. Brodie Hampson takes the reigns and she knows the horse well enough , having ridden him 21 times resulting in 6 winners and 7 places , its her only ride of the day and she's got a 33.3% strike rate at the course over the past 5 years. As you'd expect in this sort of race a few look to hold chances but to me everything points to a decent run from the selection.

    Last edited: Oct 9, 2022
  17. Sean

    Sean Active Member

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    369
  18. Sean

    Sean Active Member

    Messages:
    369
    The Fancies Recap / October

    3/10 .. Birkenhead 12/1 Lost
    3/10 .. Vape 14/1 :thumb 1st 7/2
    3/10 .. Rock Melody 11/1 Lost
    5/10 .. Magicinthemaking 12/1 Lost (2nd)
    8/10 .. Prince Imperial 25/1 Lost
    8/10 .. Call My Bluff 20/1 Lost
    10/10 .. Luna Magic 13/2 Lost

    Bets 7
    Won 1
    EP +8.00 / SP -2.50
  19. Sean

    Sean Active Member

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    369
    Tuesday 11th October

    **Bets
    3.05 Leicester - Emerald Duchess 13/2
    4.22 Huntingdon - Lord Sparky 3/1
    4.30 Hereford - Pottlerath 15/2
    6.35 Newcastle - Coase 12/1

    Bets 11 .. Won 0 .. EP -11.00 / SP -11.00

    Fancies
    8.05 Newcastle - Pockley 11/1 (Lads,Coral)

    POCKLEY caught my eye in this class 5 handicap , and although its an apprentice race i'm gonna have a punt cos i rate the jockey , Mark Winn , who gets the leg up for the first time. Has been riding well , in the last month has a 17.2% strike rate and i think he's good value for his claim to be honest. And this season he has a 17.6% strike rate when riding at Newcastle along with a profit of +12.50 , which aint too shabby imho. The horse has done well in his outings here , over todays CD he has a win and a place from his two runs , and at the course overall he has two wins and a place from 4 runs. He's coming down slightly in class which cant hurt his chances , and the thing that caught my eye is that he's running from a career low mark (probably cos he hasnt won for around two years) , but he's been running well enough in defeat , and has won off 75 (gets in here off 64) , which i'm hoping is another thing that is in his favour today. Trainer Linda Perratt doesnt seem to be in the best of form tbh , but she sends just this one out from her South Lanarkshire base , which could well indicate that she's expecting a decent showing. And the securing of Mark Winn should help the horses cause i think along with a return to a course he seems to do well at.

    6.35 Newcastle - Coase 12/1 (365)
    In all honesty probably should of left this one alone as its a tough looking race and a few look as though they could take this and i liked a few on my shortlist ; Millionaire Waltz , Enigmatic and Fiftyshadesofred.. but i've gone with COASE who had been running well until of late , maybe his earlier exertions have caught up with him i dont know but i think he could go well here at a decent price. Returning to a course where he seems to do well at , never been out of the placings here at Newcastle , he has 1 win and 2 places from 3 runs over CD and is 1 win and 3 places from 4 outings overall. So seems to like the surroundings here at Newcastle. Michael Wigham sends just this one out today and he has a 21% strike rate at the course since 2010 , and a 28.6% strike rate this season. Whilst Franny Norton gets the ride and he has a 12% strike rate in the same period at the course , and has a 16% strike rate over the past two weeks. Catches my eye that he's ridden the horse 5 times resulting in a win and three places. If on song i think Coase can go close here and give the principals something to think about at what i'd consider a decent price.
    Last edited: Oct 10, 2022
  20. Sean

    Sean Active Member

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    369
    Last edited: Oct 11, 2022