X FACTOR Betting

My younger brother and sister are big xfactor fans so whoever they fancy to win i would usually put a few quid on, i've backed craig at 18/1 on their advice, he looks like he has a great chance.

What's their track record in the past been like then?

Yesterday's Bettingzone Market News:

1610: We told you at 1205 about the latest X Factor betting and Paddy Power are one firm particularly cautious where laying Nu Vibe to be the next eliminated is concerned, offering just 6/4.

The firm are also one of several who now make Nancy Dell'Olio their favourite to be eliminated from Strictly Come Dancing.

Paddy Power said: "It is early days, but I am amazed Nancy is still in Strictly considering her score from the judges last week. She could be the next Anne Widdecombe or John Sergeant –beating the odds every week and getting through on the popular vote.

"And whilst Nu Vibe are our favourites for the chop on the X Factor, it has to be said there are other acts which are no better than them, so who knows how that one will pan out."

=============

Various markets and best odds where available:

Fifth Elimination Odds:

Nu Vibe 21/10 (Bet365)
Rhythmix 4/1 (general)
Kitty Brucknell 11/2 (Betfred/Bodog/Ladbrokes/Sky Bet/William Hill)
Sami Brookes 7/1 (Paddy Power/Stan James)
Johnny Robinson 8/1 (Coral/Paddy Power/Sky Bet)
Marcus Collins 16/1 (general)
Sophie Habibis 20/1 (Bet365/Boylesports/Paddy Power/Sportingbet)
Frankie Cocozza 40/1 (Paddy Power)
Craig Colton 66/1 (Paddy Power)
The Risk 66/1 (Boylesports)
Misha Bryan 66/1 (general)
Janet Devlin 125/1 (Paddy Power)

(To Be in the) Bottom Two:

Nu Vibe 6/5 (Boylesports)
Kitty Brucknell 13/8 (Boylesports)
Rhythmix 7/4 (Betfred)
Sami Brookes 5/2 (Betfred/Boylesports/Sky Bet)
Johnny Robinson 4/1 (Betfred/Boylesports/Sky Bet/William Hill)
Marcus Collins 7/1 (Betfred/Boylesports/William Hill)
Sophie Habibis 12/1 (Boylesports)
Frankie Cocozza 16/1 (Boylesports)
Craig Colton 20/1 (Betfred)
The Risk 28/1 (William Hill)
Misha Bryan 33/1 (Betfred/Boylesports)
Janet Devlin 50/1 (Boylesports/William Hill)

Next Boy Eliminated: (Bet365/Boylesports)

Marcus Collins 6/4 (Bet365)
Frankie Cocozza 7/4 (both)
Craig Colton 5/2 (Boylesports)

Next Girl Eliminated: (Bet365/Boylesports)

Sophie Habibis 4/6 (Boylesports)
Misha Bryan 11/4 (Bet365)
Janet Devlin 4/1 (both)

Next Group Eliminated: (Bet365/Boylesports)

Nu Vibe 4/5 (both)
Rhythmix 6/5 (Bet365)
The Risk 16/1 (Boylesports)

Next Overs Eliminated: (Bet365/Boylesports)

Sami Brookes 7/4 (Boylesports)
Johnny Robinson 2/1 (Boylesports)
Kitty Brucknell 9/4 (Bet365)

Winning Act:

Janet Devlin 11/4 (general)
Misha Bryan 9/2 (Bodog/Boylesports)
The Risk 6/1 (Bodog)
Craig Colton 6/1 (general)
Sophie Habibis 9/1 (Blue SQ)
Frankie Cocozza 14/1 (Betfred/Boylesports/Paddy Power/Sportingbet/totesport)
Marcus Collins 16/1 (Boylesports/Coral/Paddy Power)
Nu Vibe 50/1 (Boylesports/Coral/Paddy Power/Stan James/William Hill)
Sami Brookes 50/1 (Bet365/Boylesports/Paddy Power/Sportingbet)
Rhythmix 66/1 (general)
Johnny Robinson 66/1 (general)
Kitty Brucknell 66/1 (general)

Winning Manager:

Kelly Rowland 4/6 (general)
Gary Barlow 3/1 (Ladbrokes)
Tulisa Contostavlos 5/1 (Betfred/Sportingbet/Totesport)
Louis Walsh 25/1 (Bet365)

First Manager to Lose All Their Acts:

Louis Walsh 4/9 (general)
Tulisa Contostavlos 7/2 (Boylesports/Coral)
Gary Barlow 11/1 (Bet365)
Kelly Rowland 33/1 (Bet365)

Top Boy:

Craig Colton 6/5 (Bet365)
Frankie Cocozza 9/4 (Blue SQ/Coral)
Marcus Collins 3/1 (Boylesports/Ladbrokes)

Top Girl:

Janet Devlin 6/5 (Bet365)
Misha Bryan 15/8 (Ladbrokes)
Sophie Habibis 7/2 (general)

Top Group:

The Risk 1/3 (Ladbrokes)
Nu Vibe 6/1 (general)
Rhythmix 13/2 (Coral)

Top Overs:

Sami Brookes 8/5 (Bet365)
Kitty Brucknell 15/8 (general)
Johnny Robinson 5/2 (Boylesports/Ladbrokes/Sky Bet)

(To Finish in the) Top Three:

Janet Devlin 4/7 (Boylesports/Sky Bet/William Hill)
Misha Bryan 8/11 (Sky Bet)
Craig Colton 7/4 (Betfred/William Hill)
The Risk 2/1 (Boylesports)
Sophie Habibis 5/2 (Paddy Power)
Frankie Cocozza 11/4 (/Boylesports)
Marcus Collins 7/2 (Boylesports/Paddy Power)
Nu Vibe 10/1 (Boylesports)
Kitty Brucknell 12/1 (Boylesports/Paddy Power/Sky Bet/William Hill)
Sami Brookes 14/1 (Paddy Power)
Rhythmix 14/1 (Paddy Power)
Johnny Robinson 14/1 (Boylesports/Paddy Power)

well lost another 2.4 pts last week as my antepost selections continue to be flops. this was offset a little by a 2.1 pt gain on amelia lily's elimination so currently running @ - 3.1 pts

i've had another couple of bets but i'm not counting them as they are free bets
1.4 pts @3.5 Janet Devlin win
0.6 pts @34.0 Mischa B bottom 2 (cheeky one based on her negative publicity today)

ok my pre-show bet for next elimination is a 5 pt dutch (3.1 & 8.5) on Johnny Robinson & NuVibe

Reasons:
NV got awful judges comments and bad VT last week even though they had a decent running order. there's no reason why they wouldn't be given an early sloy this week and if their song is the rumoured boys II men track i expect them to struggle vocally.

JR although being set up as the comedy i don't think is generating as much interest as wagnar last year so may struggle to keep just avoiding the bottom 2 as he did.

either of these could be joined in the bottom 2 by kitty brucknell but she will be saved.

the fly in the ointment i think is sami brookes who i think will also struggle - but last week she got universal praise and a decent running order so i'm thinking they want to keep her around a little longer.

i may add some savers post show depending on running order, songs and judges comments.

Songs tonight:

Craig Colton - Best Thing I Ever Had


Johnny Robinson - Can't Get You Out Of My Head

Janet Devlin - I Can't Help Falling In Love With You

Rhythmix - I'm Like A Bird

Kitty Brucknell - It's Oh So Quiet

Sami Brookes - I Will Always Love You

The Risk - Just The Way You Are

Marcus Collins - Russian Roulette

Frankie Cocozza - The Scientist

Nu Vibe - With Or Without You

Misha B - Would I Lie To You

Sophie Habibis - Wherever You Will Go

-----------------------------------

Those look solid plays for tonight Rob - I'm going to swerve the elims for another couple of weeks in favour of some in play outright action.

Some interesting choices there - Frankie's will be a bit of a laboured dirge, I assume Misha's is the Eurythmics rather than Charles and Eddie, in which case it will suit her voice down to the ground.

Overall it looks a lineup which will suit current market favourites...a lot depending on running order too. Long term will be opposing Frankie, The Risk, Misha and Craig, but of those it's only Frankie I think I'd look to lay this early.

Any thoughts on those songs?

NuVibe have had some negative press by all accounts. I can't help but feel that With or Without you is too cult for them. It is U2s most recognised song and they'll murder it. Certainly in the run in.

I'm going to watch for the first time tonight. I've been very negative about it this year. Just can't get motivated since I talked myself out of Misha B.

don't knock yourself out on mischa gav - she had very negative press today.

no real views on the songs except the nu vibe one seems set up for them to fail while the kitty brucknell one may just keep her out of the bottom three.

btw how do you work the in play market for the outrights?

Just going to trade during the songs Rob - expecting a few to drop as they perform(provided they get a good running order.) Mischa should perform well, but I dont really rate her long term chances so looking at an in and out job.

Based on who is on early we should be able to work out who will perform in the last 3.

Nu Vibe surely nailed on for the bottom 2 having been up first - and looks like judges and producers want rid v early to focus on the Risk.

thought sami was pretty awful as well... cannon fodder so may put a saver on her as she can't be safe going 2nd

That was pretty awful from Craig. lots of ramping up, but Ive seen better in the bottom two.

wasn't great from JD... but this is a one horse race at the mo

Yeah I thought her song arrangement was very anorexic. No drama whatsoever. The ramping was immense though. Even though it's my first week watching, it's clear she's plan a.

Bottom two for Frankie, surely. I tried to get 17.0 at boyles but it's not working

louis' love child, seen

it's a betting opportunity

now now seen homophobia is so passe

marcus collins 'pull the trigger' someone please yes do it

Was there not a backing vocal track during rhythmix's chorus??