Discussion in 'Betting Talk' started by Punter, Dec 18, 2013.
Looks like the quotation marks and smilies aren't working for me tonight.
It's an awkward situation for both sides but in all fairness at least UEFA have made a stern stance on the matter to create a level playing field for the semis and I hope A Madrid have the courage of their convictions to play Courtois for their own benefit although in the same breath it does leave the match wide open wide open to corruption.
The more I thought about it as I was typing the more I think UEFA could be wrong; there's a huge confilct of Interest here and it's not fair for it to be burdened on Courtois's shoulders; For Athletico's own sake financial or otherwise it might just be aswell they leave him out and concentrate on the match in hand and give Chelsea no advantage in this match whatsoever.
It's Costa who Chelsea are after, they'l probably get him too. Atleti can replace Costa, just like they did with Falcao. Remember him?
Strikers are two a penny at Atleti, they can get the next south american, anytime. Goalkeepers and other positions are different and Courtois has been world class.
And Cech is still only 31.
It's all a bit of a bastard to me at the moment as i've been looking at the chances of another bet coming in for me that involves Costa directly....
It's only £2.ew but i'd love to have a 150/1 place up on my Cv at the end of the season. It may turn out to be small compensation if Atleti win fuck all.
There are players out there that could still spoil it for me and i think there's more chance of Costa not playing than Courtois not playing..
All in Atletico's hands now - well, it was before, but they couldn't have afforded to lose to Barça. Now they can afford to lose to Barça as long as they win all their others. Getafe (A), Elche (H), Valencia (A), Levante (A), Malaga (H), Barça (A).
No reason why they shouldn't be able to win those other 5 games, just a question of how they handle the pressure from here.
And i hope you're right about those 5 games. I'm worried about how they may handle the pressure too but they now have an opportunity to go 6pts clear, as they play two games before the others play next. It may give me the opportunity of a small lay at odds on
I dont think they can win the CL anyway, i think i've a slightly better chance in the League. Only slightly though.
I do have a small profit in the league if they slip up but could do with more cover now, i think. I need to be putting in a small lay, question is do i do it now @ around 2.3 or wait and see if they beat Elche on Friday night and shorten even more?
Unbelievable Jeff! I stuck a lay bet on Atleti last night, £50 @ 1.47, chancing some of it might get matched if they beat Elche, Friday night. And £41.19 got matched today! Not sure how that's happened tbh but i'm well happy about it. Backing at 101.00 and laying some @ 1.47, marvelous.
I'll leave the remaining £8.81 at that price.
This is where i'm at in the league, and probably how it'll remain. Unless you advise me otherwise.
27/08/13 Winner - Atletico Madrid £15 @ 100/1 Coral
15/11/13 Winner - Real Madrid £20 @ 4/1 Bet Victor
04/02/14 Winner - Barcelona £40 @ 13/10 Ladbrokes (shop)
15/04/14 Winner - Lay Atleti @ 1.47 to return £83.34 Liability £41.19
Would that be right? Or level out and take a profit £25 on all three? Or leave it??
I'm sure you'd get plenty of opportunities to back a fair bit higher than that again afterwards, even if they do beat Elche.
Don't think I'd really be looking to back Atleti again in your position. You're already on for about £1400 if they win it, the amount you'd be getting back by covering is pretty small really in comparison. In that position, I'd be more grateful for the chance to win a few quid in the event that Atletico don't win it by covering Real and Barça than I would for the chance to add £25 to the winnings from Atletico.
And you're right with the rest of your post too. I think i had too many Vino's last night and started to question what's best. Cheers RC
What about Naymar's miss at the end there
What a fantastic season La Liga has been, 3 teams in it on the final day (most likely).
Levante played brilliantly against Atleti, i'm convinced there must of been that 3rd party bonus paid lol.
I'll see how the league turns out before doing anything but any thoughts on the CL final? I'm probably going to need to do something but i'm not sure what or when yet..
You'd have to say Real are most likely winners, but i'm thinking of waiting and seeing if Atleti can score first.