RC's Spanish bets 2011/2012

Going to keep track in here of the bets I post up on the forum, am interested to see how my record on these bets compares to my overall record in the Spanish leagues (as I tend to have a lot of in-play bets, plus the occasional goalscorer bet, plus various others that for one reason or another I don't end up posting on here).

Outright bets (originally posted here - http://betnod.com/threads/spanish-season-2011-2012.138/):

Benzema to be top scorer @ 13.0 (Bet365) 2pts e/w (top 4 finish)
Baptista to be top scorer @ 67.0 (Bet365) 1pt e/w (top 4 finish)
Racing Santander to be relegated @ 5.5 (Bet365) 2pts

Week 1 bets (http://betnod.com/threads/spain-26-29-august.136/)

Bet 1: Barcelona v Villarreal (DNB) @ 8 1pt (5-0)
Bet 2: Both teams to score @ 1.8 4pts
Bet 3: Barcelona not to keep clean sheet @ 2.25 2pts

Week 1 total: -7pts

Week 2 bets (http://betnod.com/threads/spain-3-4-september.211/ and http://betnod.com/threads/spain-copa-del-rey-betting-7-8-september.223/)

Bet 4: Almeria to score 2+ v Girona @ 2.05 (Sporting Bet) 3pts (2-2) +3.15pts
Bet 5: Elche v Murcia over 2.5 @ 2.48 (Betfair) 2pts (0-1)
Bet 6: Lay Real Madrid B v Albacete @ evens (Betfair) liability 2pts (1-1) +1.9pts (after commission)
Bet 7: Recreativo v Celta Vigo over 2.5 goals @ 2.58 (Betfair) 2pts (1-2) +3pts (after comm.)
Bet 8: Albacete v Jaen @ 5.5 (Betfair) 2pts (1-0)
Bet 9: Recreativo v Elche @ 2.72 (Betfair) 3pts (0-2) +4.9pts (after comm.)
Bet 10: Valladolid to win to nil v Nastic @ 2.4 (Paddy Power) 2pts (6-0) + 2.8pts

Week 2 total: +11.75 pts
Overall total: +4.75 pts

W/L: 5/5
Staked: 23 pts (exc. ante-post bets)
Returned: 27.75 pts
Profit/Loss: +4.75 pts
Strike rate: 50%
Yield: 20.65%

Week 3 bets (http://betnod.com/threads/spain-betting-10-12-september.244/)

Bet 11: Valencia v Atletico Madrid both sides to score @ 1.727 (Bet365) 2pts (1-0)
Bet 12: Real Sociedad tb Barcelona @ 19.5 (Betfair) 0.5pts (2-2)
Bet 13: Lay Alcorcon v Villarreal B @ 1.92 (Betfair) liability 2pts (1-1) +2.07pts (after comm.)
Bet 14: Sabadell tb Cartagena @ 2.2 (Betfair) 2pts (3-2) +2.28pts (after comm.)
Bet 15: Valladolid to score 2+ v Girona @ 2.5 (Sporting Odds) 3pts (1-1)
Bet 16: Valladolid to score 3+ v Girona @ 6 (Bet365) 1pt
Bet 17: Valladolid to score 4+ v Girona @ 17 (Bet365) 0.5pts
Bet 18: Celta v Elche over 2.5 goals @ 2.34 (Betfair) 2pts (1-2) +2.55pts (after comm.)
Bet 19: Malaga v Granada under 2.5 goals @ 2.26 (Betfair) 2pts

Week 3 total: -2.1 pts
Overall total: +2.65 pts

W/L: 8/11
Staked: 38 pts (exc. ante-post bets)
Returned: 40.65 pts
Profit/Loss: +2.65 pts
Strike rate: 42.11%
Yield: 6.97%

Bet 20: Lugo v Atletico Madrid B over 2.5 @ 2.25 (Bet365) 2pts (2-1) +2.5

Updated week 3 and overall stats:

Week 3 total: +0.4 pts

W/L: 9/11
Staked: 40 pts (exc. ante-post bets)
Returned: 45.15 pts
Profit/Loss: +5.15 pts
Strike rate: 45%
Yield: 12.88%

Week 4 bets (http://betnod.com/threads/spain-betting-16-19-september.288/)

Bet 21: Hercules v Barcelona B both teams to score - NO @ 2.56 (Betfair) 3pts (2-1)
Bet 22: Mallorca v Malaga @ 2.25 (Stan James) 2pts (0-1) +2.5pts
Bet 23: Huesca v Alcoyano over 2.5 goals @ 2.7 (Betfair) 1.5pts (3-3) +2.42pts
Bet 24: Deportivo v Sabadell over 2.5 goals @ 2.05 (Bet365) 3pts (2-1) +3.15pts
Bet 25: Depor to win from behind @ 7 (Bet365) 0.5pts
Bet 26: Sabadell to win from behind @ 15 (Bet365) 0.5pts
Bet 27: RB Linense v Cadiz (DNB) @ 2.95 (Sporting Odds) 2pts (0-2) +3.9pts

Week 4 current total (pending the full midweek programme still to come): +7.97pts

W/L: 13/14
Staked: 52.5 pts (exc. ante-post bets)
Returned: 65.62 pts
Profit/Loss: +13.12 pts
Strike rate: 48.15%
Yield: 24.99%

Week 4 midweek bets (http://betnod.com/threads/spain-betting-16-19-september.288/):

Bet 28: Villarreal (-1 a/h) v Mallorca @ 2.1 (Bet365) 3pts (2-0) +3.3pts
Bet 29: Valencia tb Barcelona @ 8 (Betfair) 1pt (2-2)
Bet 30: Rami (Valencia) anytime scorer @ 11 (Bet365) 1pt

Week 4 total: +9.27pts

W/L: 14/16
Staked: 57.5 pts (exc. ante-post bets)
Returned: 71.92 pts
Profit/Loss: +14.42 pts
Strike rate: 46.67%
Yield: 25.08%

Week 5 bets (http://betnod.com/threads/spain-betting-23-26-september.328/)

Bet 31: Nastic v Huesca (DNB) @ 2.75 (Stan James) 3pts (1-3) +5.25pts
Bet 32: Huesca to score 2 or more @ 4 (Sporting Odds) 1.5pts +4.5pts
Bet 33: Sabadell v Hercules (0 a/h) @ 2.05 (Bet365) 4pts (1-1) PUSH
Bet 34: Mallorca v Real Sociedad (0 hcp) @ 2.375 (Bet365) 3pts

Week 5 total: +6.75pts

W/L: 16/17 (1 push)
Staked: 69 pts (exc. ante-post bets)
Returned: 90.17 pts
Profit/Loss: +21.17 pts
Strike rate: 47.06%
Yield: 30.68%

Nice going Rc

Week 6 bets (http://betnod.com/threads/spain-betting-30-sept-3-october.359/)

Bet 35: Villarreal B v Nastic over 2.5 goals @ 2.1 (Bet365) 2pts (3-2) +2.2pts
Bet 36: Barcelona B v Sabadell over 2.5 goals @ 1.83 (Stan James) 6pts (0-1)
Bet 37: Huesca v Cordoba @ 3.5 (Bet365) 3pts (0-1) +7.5pts
Bet 38: Valladolid v Elche (DNB) @ 3 (Bet365) 2pts (2-1)
Bet 39: Celta to score 2 or more v Numancia @ 2.85 (Sporting Odds) 2pts (0-2) +3.7pts
Bet 40: Xerez v Girona over 3 goals @ 3.0 (Bet365) 2pts (2-1) PUSH

Week 6 total: +5.4pts

W/L: 19/19 (2 pushes)
Staked: 86 pts (exc. ante-post bets)
Returned: 112.57 pts
Profit/Loss: +26.57 pts
Strike rate: 47.50%
Yield: 30.89%

Week 7 bets (www.betnod.com/threads/spain-football-betting-8-10-october.378)

Bet 41: Murcia v Xerez (DNB) @ 3 (Bet365) 4pts (0-0) PUSH
Bet 42: Girona v Huesca over 2.5 goals @ 2.3 (Bet365) 4pts (1-1)
Bet 43: Cadiz to score over 1.5 v Ecija @ 1.8 (Sporting Odds) 4pts (2-0 up at HT) +3.2pts
Bet 44: Linense to score over 1.5 at San Roque @ 2.3 (Sporting Odds) 2pts (4-0)
Bet 45: Atletico Madrid B to score over 1.5 goals v Vecindario @ 2.75 2pts (Bet365) (1-1)

Week 7 total (so far): -4.8pts

W/L: 20/22 (3 pushes)
Staked: 102 pts (exc. ante-post bets)
Returned: 123.77 pts
Profit/Loss: +21.77 pts
Strike rate: 44.44%
Yield: 21.34%

Week 7 midweek bets (http://betnod.com/threads/spain-copa-del-rey-betting-12-october.400/)

Bet 46: Celta Vigo tb Valladolid @ 2.5 (Bet365) 2pts (4-1) +3pts
Bet 47: San Roque to qualify away to Andorra @ 2.1 (Paddy Power) 3pts (1-3) +3.3pts

Week 7 total: +1.5pts

W/L: 22/22 (3 pushes)
Staked: 107 pts (exc. ante-post bets)
Returned: 135.07 pts
Profit/Loss: +28.07 pts
Strike rate: 46.81%
Yield: 26.23%

Breakdown by competition. Confirms what my own records have been telling me for some time, that I really should stay away from Primera

Primera:

W/L: 2/9
Staked: 21.5 pts
Returned: 10.8 pts
Profit/Loss: -10.7 pts
Strike rate: 18.18%
Yield: -49.77%



Segunda:

W/L: 12/10 (3 pushes)
Staked: 59.5 pts
Returned: 78.77 pts
Profit/Loss: +19.27 pts
Strike rate: 48%
Yield: 32.39%

Segunda B:

W/L: 4/2
Staked: 14 pts
Returned: 21.5 pts
Profit/Loss: +7.5 pts
Strike rate: 66.67%
Yield: 53.57%

Copa del Rey:

W/L: 4/1
Staked: 12 pts
Returned: 24 pts
Profit/Loss: +12 pts
Strike rate: 80%
Yield: 100%

Early days with the Primera though Rc, early season in top leagues always throw more odd results out, i'm sure that stat will get better the more into the season you go. Great stats for the rest
I'm showing around a 10% yield at the moment, i'll be happy if i can get to December with that, after that if my pattern is the same as the past few seasons then i should kick on a bit.

Cheers Punter. Yes, I saw you had a nice winner in your last bet in your thread, brought you up well into profit. You're ahead of your target aren't you - is it 8% you were aiming for? I'll be more than happy if I can get to the end of this season with a yield of around 8-10% - I'm not kidding myself, there's no way I'll keep up the run I'm on in this thread over a whole season

If you keep the same enthusiasum and dedication Rc i'm sure you'll be well happy with your results at the end of the season

Siesta-loving? No chance, while the kids and the Mrs are sleeping their siestas is the only chance I get to have any peace and quiet.